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If I Had a (Few Hundred) Million Dollars…

June 24th, 2010

When the going gets tough, I daydream. To be quite frank, I’ve found myself daydreaming a lot over the past few months. So, when I first learned about China’s attempt to acquire ailing  magazine, Newsweek, my imagination shifted into overdrive. I find few things more tantalizing to waste my time musing over then the possibilities which exist at the intersection of US-China relations and the global media sector. Dying media companies are (or should be) an entrepreneur’s cornucopia; throw in the potential for Sino-US partnership, and it’s a bountiful feast for the mind. Or, at least, that’s how it is for me. Perhaps if I were Newsweek CEO Tom Ascheim I’d feel a bit differently right about now.

It should come as no surprise that the bid made by China based-Southern Media Group and Chengdu B-Ray Media was quickly rejected, despite Newsweek’s mounting financial losses and apparent readiness to sell. Continued distrust of the Chinese coupled with growing economic insecurity would make the sale of an American media brand to China more than unpalatable to the public. While no specific reason has been given, the timing and circumstances are just not right at this stage of the game and The Washington Post Company, owners of Newsweek, were likely well aware of that. But, analyzing the finer points is far beyond my scope of knowledge, so I’d like to get back to daydreaming while leaving in-depth commentary to the experts…

One of the wonderful things about losing oneself to the imagination is that it allows little room for laws or politics or impossibilities. So, as I was reading about the failed bid, I couldn’t help but tease myself with a big “WHAT IF” that I’d like to share with you. In a nutshell, China’s thwarted attempt to plant its editorial flag on a US-branded publication highlights dissimilar, but not incompatible, needs among two camps. The first- traditional American media companies- are tripping and tumbling over the breakneck pace of change. They need increased readership, more advertising dollars and, in my opinion, a more globally-minded voice to win back some of the audience that they’ve lost. The second- Chinese media buyers- are desperate to get their foot in America’s door. They want to learn more while bolstering their own reputation under the umbrella of a brand with prestige. However, it is doubtful that either party will get exactly what they want- at least not in the short-term.

So, given the fact that China is going to have a very difficult time acquiring a US media brand like Newsweek outright, why hasn’t the possibility for a Sino-US news media joint-venture been publicly explored (and if it has, why don’t I know about it)? Are we still that far off from being able to conceptualize an influential shared voice that bypasses political bantering and instead focuses on offering dynamic business, economic and cultural news? Consider, for instance, if Newsweek had taken the JV route instead. A few of the potentially positive outcomes may include:
- a transformation in the way we perceive media (we live in a globalized world, after all)
- a potentially broader audience on both sides of the fence
- more diverse, balanced commentary
- greater access to sources, advertising partners
- much needed capital-infusion
- a Chinese presence in US-media (which China is intent on gaining, like it or not)
- reputation as a risk-taker, innovator

There are also major considerations to make and hurdles to overcome in an arrangement like this, for example:
-What does the management structure look like?
-Who would be appointed as editor? Which side gets the final say?
-How do you address the issue of censorship and potentially warring ideologies?
-Which existing companies could handle the complexities inherent in an arrangement like this?
-Would a newly-established JV have a chance, given the challenges existing media brands now face?
-How do you position a new Sino-US media brand or transform an already established brand?

As I stated in the beginning of the post, I’ve been daydreaming, paying little attention to tradition or rules. Any family fortune that may have existed is long gone, the media maven of my ancestry has been dead for hundreds of years, and Michael Bloomberg hasn’t mailed me a check yet. The reality is, in between contemplating the “what if’s” I’m now looking for a job. So, I have resigned myself to accepting the fact that the media company of my dreams may just be that- a dream. But, as an American CEO or Chinese buyer in this world of pretend, possibility reads a bit like promise.

Have your say: Is a balanced Sino-US media company a good idea or an impossibility? Will China acquire a major US media brand in the near future and if so, how will the American public react? Would you read a Sino-US joint-managed newspaper or magazine? What am I missing here?

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Commentary , , ,

  1. rocker
    June 24th, 2010 at 23:36 | #1

    Hey there, in answer to your question, I think a balanced Sino-US media company is a good idea as well as an impossibility. The reasons that it is a good idea are as you have mentioned in your post, with the most compelling reason, to me, being that such a media company would be better qualified to provide more “diverse, balanced commentary” to audiences in both China and the US.

    However, the reality is that a joint-venture that would bring about such a media company is simply impossible in the current social and political climate in the US. Americans, as you have noted, simply do not trust China enough that they would tolerate any significant Chinese presence in the American socio-economic sphere, and on the off chance that such a joint-venture did materialise the company would surely quickly go bust from lack of public support. Perhaps public attitude toward China in the US will change, but I would expect it to get worse in the foreseeable future as China’s national power relative to that of the US continues to strengthen.

  2. June 25th, 2010 at 01:17 | #2

    Aimee,
    You bring up a lot of interesting points. I thought the only other Newsweek bidder that made sense was an international company seeking entry into the US market for its regional businesses. Seeing ads for *foreign* businesses would be some fresh air and help Americans gain awareness about the greater marketplace. I think a Sino-US JV would be bright. I can see an Indian-US partnership coming first if only for political reasons. The WSJ’s India Real Time franchise is a good start and might blossom into a true partnership there. Still, though, their ads miss the point by spreading the word about brands we already know. Nissan? GMC? come on.
    Thanks for sharing your daydreams,
    Greg

  3. Robert Bagwell
    June 25th, 2010 at 09:34 | #3

    This would be a bad dream to me Aimee. China would push the JV towards their position that free enterprise is failing and the US would counter with the idea that Socialism and Statist intervention is failing. This economic war is not over.

    Back in My of ’09 Chinese Vice Foreign Minister He Yafei summoned a meeting with top dog economists at the Chinese consulate in Manhattan. His opening question – “Now that the free market has failed, what do you think is the proper role for the state in the economy?” what a question!
    Can you imagine the articles that would be proposed in this JV?

    China’s future is heavily based on a Construction Boom that is about to tank. It relies on Government Officials picking “winner” industries. Ask the French and the British how that worked for them in the 70s and 80s!!

    He Yafei is just guilty of Hubris but—the God Nemesis still stalks the land wreaking havoc where ever he goes. The floating of their currency is the start of His revenge!!

    The Obama Administration is the death knell of the Statists/ Socialists. The pendulum is about to swing back to Reagan-ism.

    It’s fun to dream.

  4. June 28th, 2010 at 12:34 | #4

    There is still a reservoir of distrust about China in the popular imagination in America. This is not simple ethnocentrism or racism; a Japanese buyout of Newsweek would probably fly. Instead it’s the opacity of the Chinese economic animal. Business people who work with Chinese clients and vendors don’t see this issue…it’s simply business connections, after all. The public at large, however, sees it from a distance and, frankly, it’s hard for any of us to grasp. All sorts of impressions and emotional sub-currents go into the popular conception of China and Chinese business: shades of the Cold War and anti-communist fervor, sure; the sheer size and suddenness of China’s arrival on the world scene; concern about losing preeminence; caricatures of labor camps and exploited young people; suspicions about strategic intent…there’s probably a long list. We in business don’t see this well, I suspect; China in my lifetime has gone from being a blank space, essentially not relevant to business considerations, to its current status as a constant presence in all sectors.

    This theme is of interest because I don’t think anyone’s spelled out this popular conception, China in the American imagination, as it exists today. The twisted ways in which those outside China have perceived China does have a well-documented history, in Academia anyway, but it’s sorely in need of updating.

  5. Juergen
    June 28th, 2010 at 16:54 | #5

    Good news,

    hi aimee,

    let me please know via mail what kind of job you are looking for. In media or in ICT? In which city?
    Why not shouold a Chinese corporation buy shares in a US media group. The SWF Souvereign Wealth Fund CIC bought already a stake in Blackstone … and one of the funds already has invested in Telco.

    I wish you success in searching for a new job and let´s keep in touch.

    Juergen

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